The Mark Levin/David Frum Dust-Up of 2009 (see here, here, here, here, here, here, and here) has made for some theater over the past few months.
My question is…what is the point of David Frum? What is the point of the existence of his New Majority? Let’s break down one piece of David Frum’s platform. On the environment, DF would have the GOP and conservatives cede ground to the left. What would that look like?
That would most likely mean going along with some form of cap and trade, because everyone knows that anthropogenic climate change is settled science [sarc/]. The bill that was passed in the House, besides addressing something that has no scientific consensus, would choke-slam the US economy. It would (among many bad things) pick winners and losers in the business world, federally subsidize at large expense so-called green jobs and raise taxes-and therefore prices-on nearly everything and everybody.
So, for a party that is supposed to be a proponent of free markets, small unobtrusive government and low taxes, cap n’ trade can only be viewed as a massive sell-out. Naturally, it would alienate large swaths of the current Republican coalition. Of course, the GOP would win over far more people to the new majority than would be pushed out of the party by this new direction on environmental policy, right?
That is a highly doubtful proposition. There is absolutely no way that any great numbers of the Earth-first left would suddenly start pulling the Elephant lever at the polls just because the GOP signed on to cap and trade. This is because the environmental movement looks at cap and trade as a half-assed half measure. The Republicans would just look like, you guessed it, half-assed corporate shills to the tree-huggers. Which is pretty much how the eco-nuts look at the GOP now.
What about the non-political moderates/undecideds/centrists? Surely they’d come to the Republicans because of this new stance on the environment. Maybe at first, but that would surely change once the highly craptastic effects of cap and trade start working on the economy. When the price of gasoline, home heating oil, electricity and every other thing that relies on energy goes through the roof, it’s doubtful the Republicans are going to get credit for their good environmental intentions. More likely, the GOP would catch hell for going along with Henry Waxman’s dream legislation.
And again, remember that going along with cap and trade would mean shedding chunks of the GOP base. Those voters have to be replaced and then added to by incoming voters in order for David Frum’s designs to work out to a new majority.
So other than shrinking the party and thus sinking any chance of…you know…actually winning elections any time soon, the New Majority is a great plan.